Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 5.515375 6.289401 7.143520 8.157671 9.331262 10.649311 12.245483
2025-04-06 4.425371 5.416216 6.596846 8.113664 10.019835 12.347799 15.424388
2025-04-13 3.737592 4.815639 6.174311 8.024707 10.498151 13.716943 18.266140
2025-04-20 3.375137 4.536810 6.070518 8.263692 11.352095 15.594568 21.947481
2025-04-27 3.077169 4.288614 5.953020 8.435534 12.093626 17.363126 25.669054
2025-05-04 2.878089 4.143745 5.946266 8.739754 13.030584 19.488267 30.164165
2025-05-11 2.572773 3.807644 5.620869 8.524525 13.146823 20.372365 32.825548
2025-05-18 2.341019 3.553882 5.385857 8.410359 13.388754 21.453930 35.913947
2025-05-25 2.147474 3.337632 5.183054 8.317577 13.641273 22.561004 39.163343
2025-06-01 1.968576 3.126445 4.965692 8.173026 13.781518 23.478891 42.176251
2025-06-08 1.805159 2.924884 4.743871 7.994667 13.836512 24.241088 44.982908
2025-06-15 1.754011 2.903392 4.815884 8.325107 14.820005 26.765520 51.462860
2025-06-22 1.663614 2.809392 4.759282 8.427149 15.407782 28.645380 56.985696
2025-06-29 1.557938 2.679888 4.629339 8.381899 15.711842 30.015531 61.660866
2025-07-06 1.455757 2.547850 4.482907 8.289765 15.911425 31.195601 66.091274
2025-07-13 1.411122 2.515588 4.513766 8.537408 16.809200 33.892274 74.249340
2025-07-20 1.360287 2.467397 4.510174 8.715487 17.581533 36.414538 82.391574
2025-07-27 1.330049 2.455111 4.572702 9.030777 18.674186 39.756752 92.995043
2025-08-03 1.238328 2.317919 4.382480 8.807712 18.580024 40.447487 97.205818
2025-08-10 1.166062 2.213331 4.248233 8.689397 18.703538 41.646440 102.883785
2025-08-17 1.101927 2.120170 4.129603 8.593248 18.865876 42.952902 109.044733
2025-08-24 1.037299 2.021452 3.992188 8.443457 18.887918 43.923743 114.456261
2025-08-31 0.974185 1.921507 3.844923 8.258645 18.807867 44.633436 119.258665